This technique would also require its own set of grand challenges. Its true that technology often seems to be invented in several places almost simultaneously. However, theres LOT of details which are glossed over in such simplistic analysis, something history is really amazingly poor at handling, from my shallow studies in the field. Although we not agree with these countries political or social system. Depending on where one starts on day one with product designs and available energy as well as how many designers or new forms of energy can be exploited would seem to be considerable variable.

There is then great fanfare for this group and perhaps Nobel Prize or some other monetary compensation. Well it would appear that the Chinese are no longer just rice farmers. It takes more than year to write CAD software and train people to use it in very unfamiliar design space. normalizing assumptions are fudge factors, in my opinion so what if 1920s penny is equivalent to 1980s dollar?

Just from the fuel efficiency standpoint alone if United States were to impose tariffs on the incoming Chinese cars in the scenario would not be surprised to see uproar from United States consumer against this policy as they would be able to otherwise purchase car for perhaps few hundred dollars. What if the Chinese decide to use this technology in aggressive stance this would clearly be destabilizing to the world as whole.

There is then great fanfare for this group and perhaps Nobel Prize or some other monetary compensation. Certainly if the Chinese government is the first possessor of MM technology. But it should not be discounted the the other groups working on the technology at the same time where one of the groups makes either breakthrough or is simply more diligent in their efforts and arrives at the end result first.

Depending on where one starts on day one with product designs and available energy as well as scaling up of energy requirements for the new technology.

If this is the case we should note that in their will likely be sixmonth or so delay after the development of MM, developing design capability. Certainly if the Chinese decide to use this technology in aggressive stance this would clearly be destabilizing to the world as whole. When the technology comes into existence typically there are several groups working on the same technology would likely have arrived at the same place given perhaps even only few more months time and little bit of luck. So back to the point of what if China develops MM first.